Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 149.192464 163.856072 178.865208 195.348463 212.913410 231.043238 251.142095
2025-01-05 125.202400 147.067168 170.509853 197.391909 227.241963 259.250485 296.045300
2025-01-12 104.085204 130.493075 160.085436 195.399349 236.084233 281.184992 334.649935
2025-01-19 87.741620 117.118157 151.440916 193.925850 244.510221 302.232523 372.479066
2025-01-26 78.615874 110.979692 150.206168 200.304794 261.617547 333.259701 422.303915
2025-02-02 70.631042 105.177691 148.518979 205.485580 276.948019 362.214539 470.152392
2025-02-09 64.288058 100.653722 147.756316 211.297056 292.775692 391.787267 519.121982
2025-02-16 58.673282 96.408463 146.789737 216.418465 307.516202 420.058889 566.850722
2025-02-23 49.787184 86.624431 137.579005 209.975107 306.855427 428.748866 590.209086
2025-03-02 43.218268 79.425735 131.206999 206.676585 309.754048 441.576341 618.580762
2025-03-09 38.661654 74.727543 127.891636 207.154044 317.366234 460.314447 654.507725
2025-03-16 35.185427 71.320947 126.108491 209.500416 327.337322 482.105633 694.529133
2025-03-23 33.096655 70.039843 127.479813 216.515987 344.100782 513.490924 748.032173
2025-03-30 30.685625 67.971445 127.492127 221.501455 358.144955 541.548830 797.735716
2025-04-06 27.277827 63.789116 123.899328 220.911990 364.220253 558.940189 833.615300
2025-04-13 24.227551 59.873752 120.404109 220.194073 369.939348 575.815935 868.959412
2025-04-20 23.050751 59.318964 122.298758 227.709479 387.647088 609.350023 927.082008
2025-04-27 21.696546 58.258573 123.239490 233.697046 403.180701 640.067045 981.770907
2025-05-04 20.556674 57.483736 124.566238 240.252133 419.602044 672.184473 1038.692381
2025-05-11 19.372769 56.477050 125.395220 245.975297 434.840105 702.816789 1093.927390
2025-05-18 16.435951 51.342250 118.571340 238.954100 430.603578 705.746208 1110.979309
2025-05-25 14.302398 47.643250 114.017348 235.359782 431.332748 715.588979 1137.559566
2025-06-01 12.901987 45.429545 112.027403 235.902462 438.348861 734.472225 1176.885534